Fanduel 12/4/18 NBA Picks

Quick hitter tonight as I have a work function. Five game slate with zero players over $10000. An optimal lineup night.

Nickname	Salary	O/U	TM Pts	Spread	SD Pts	Min
Nikola Vucevic	9700	207	102	3	44.8	32.49
Rudy Gobert	9500	216	112.25	-8.5	41.5	35.47
Jusuf Nurkic	8400	216	107.25	1.5	36.3	28.33
Hassan Whiteside	8200	207	105	-3	40	27.51
Willie Cauley-Stein	7500	222.5	114	-5.5	33.2	30.87
DeAndre Jordan	7500	216	108.75	-1.5	32.4	33.22
Myles Turner	7100	210.5	109.5	-8.5	31.9	29.19
Deandre Ayton	6800	222.5	108.5	5.5	35	31.82

Lots of good plays. I like Whiteside at his price point and going against another C with a high usage. Nurkic's price point is too high for me. Jordan seems like a stronger play to me than Cauley Stein and Ayton is a solid value play. 

Value Plays 

Feels mostly like Ayton. You could punt with a couple of guys, but I'm not doing that tonight. 

Nickname	Salary	O/U	TM Pts	Spread	SD Pts	Min
LaMarcus Aldridge	8000	216	103.75	8.5	36.8	35.78
Domantas Sabonis	7700	210.5	109.5	-8.5	32.3	25.09
Aaron Gordon	7400	207	102	3	33.9	33.79

I'll have exposure to both Aldridge and Sabonis. The price points seem right for their recent performance. Gordon is a hard guy to figure out so I'm fading him tonight. 

Value Plays

Nickname	Salary	O/U	TM Pts	Spread	SD Pts	Min
Josh Jackson	5600	222.5	108.5	5.5	30.3	32.07
Richard Holmes	5500	222.5	108.5	5.5	24.7	23.27
Thaddeus Young	5500	210.5	109.5	-8.5	23.3	28.62
Al-Farouq Aminu	5400	216	107.25	1.5	24.5	30.27
Kelly Olynyk	4600	207	105	-3	19.2	19.14

Expect huge ownership on Jackson. Holmes is a more nuanced play, but the minutes are nearly as good for similar value as Young or Aminu. Olynyk looks to get solid burn tonight with various GTD players for MIA. 

PG

Nickname	Salary	O/U	TM Pts	Spread	SD Pts	Min
Damian Lillard	9900	216	107.25	1.5	47.3	39.02
De'Aaron Fox	7900	222.5	114	-5.5	36.3	34.02
Ricky Rubio	6900	216	112.25	-8.5	32.4	33.36
Darren Collison	6600	210.5	109.5	-8.5	29.1	31.99

Dam has the highest salary and he'd have to have a monster to get to 5x but he'll get some run in my lineups. Fox is clunker prone, but a good matchup here. Rubio has a good price point against a team with subpar PG play. Collison's price point doesn't excite me, but he's in play. 

Value Plays

Nickname	Salary	O/U	TM Pts	Spread	SD Pts	Min
Elie Okobo	4700	222.5	108.5	5.5	24.9	32.25
Cory Joseph	4400	210.5	109.5	-8.5	22.8	28.08
Patrick Mills	3800	216	103.75	8.5	15	21.04
Cameron Payne	3500	210.5	101	8.5	11.3	16.93

Okobo will have high ownership, but has excellent projected minutes. Joseph is a really strong play with these minutes. Mills is always in play for me. Complete punt is with Payne who's started eating into CHI PG minutes. 

SF

Nickname	Salary	O/U	TM Pts	Spread	SD Pts	Min
Josh Richardson	7400	207	105	-3	32.1	34.68
Jabari Parker	7300	210.5	101	8.5	30	31.79
Harrison Barnes	6500	216	108.75	-1.5	30.9	34.06
Joe Ingles	6100	216	112.25	-8.5	25.9	31.44
Trevor Ariza	5600	222.5	108.5	5.5	28	36.96

I assume Ariza should be in value plays, but his minutes and the matchup are excellent. Richardson is more accurately priced which makes him intriguing. Parker has been outperforming this price point consistently. Six of his last seven are 5x at this price point. Everyone might be injured for DAL tonight so expect high ownership of Barnes. Ingles seems like a fade with better options. 

Value Plays

Nickname	Salary	O/U	TM Pts	Spread	SD Pts	Min
Rudy Gay	5500	216	103.75	8.5	26.7	28.46
Jae Crowder	5400	216	112.25	-8.5	25.1	33.23
Bojan Bogdanovic	5200	210.5	109.5	-8.5	26.1	35.11
Dorian Finney-Smith	4800	216	108.75	-1.5	18.8	25.72
Nemanja Bjelica	4400	222.5	114	-5.5	17.9	19.32
Doug McDermott	3700	210.5	109.5	-8.5	14.3	20.07

Gay is a sneaky low-ownership play. Crowder is finally priced correctly so I'm not sure how much I'll be on him. Bojan is always in play for me. Finney-Smith could get big minutes depending on GTD in DAL. Bjelica could get more run in SAC if Bagley is out. McDermott has had good usage and is a good lineup construction play. 

SG

Nickname	Salary	O/U	TM Pts	Spread	SD Pts	Min
Donovan Mitchell	8500	216	112.25	-8.5	35.3	35.61
DeMar DeRozan	8400	216	103.75	8.5	39	37.38
Zach LaVine	8400	210.5	101	8.5	38.5	36.91
C.J. McCollum	7100	216	107.25	1.5	33.5	38.02

I've left Doncic out because of the GTD. DeRozen and Mitchell seem appropriately priced. You have to believe C.J. is going to score 25+ to get to 5x. He's almost solely dependent on scoring. I don't really see it. 

Value Plays 

Nickname	Salary	O/U	TM Pts	Spread	SD Pts	Min
Bogdan Bogdanovic	6600	222.5	114	-5.5	28.7	32.98
Justin Holiday	6100	210.5	101	8.5	21.5	29.24
Buddy Hield	6000	222.5	114	-5.5	30.3	33.11
Dwyane Wade	5700	207	105	-3	22.7	22.79
Jamal Crawford	4000	222.5	108.5	5.5	17.7	19.66
Iman Shumpert	3800	222.5	114	-5.5	19.5	26

Bogdan, Shump, and Hield feel like good plays. Hard to see who stops them on PHO. Wade has been a monster lately and there's some GTD issues in MIA. Holiday is a 4.5x solid guy. He can give you a lower ownership option if you're trying to vary your Bogdan and Hield plays. Crawford's price point is a little high, but he can put up 20 in 12 minutes still. Ageless buckets. 

Good luck to everyone tonight!