Fanduel 12/6/18 NBA Picks


Three game slate tonight with only two players at $10000+. Been a busy time for me lately so I haven't had as much time to do research and the performances have hurt because of it. Looking to get back into tonight.

PG

Damian Lillard ($10500) vs. PHO - 38 min - 214.5 O/U - 113.5 Tm pts
Kyrie Irving ($9000) vs. NY - 32 min - 217.5 O/U - 115.25 Tm pts
Chris Paul ($8100) @UTA - 33 min - 216 O/U - 107 Tm pts
Ricky Rubio ($7200) vs. HOU - 33 min - 216 O/U - 109 Tm pts

Worried about Lillard in a POR blowout, but with McCollum out his usage will probably go up a tick. Big spread for Irving tonight so you'd have to believe that NY will keep it close to get to 5x. Paul and Rubio have good price points so I'll have some exposure here.

Value Plays

Seth Curry ($3500) vs. PHO - 23 min - 214.5 O/U - 113.5 Tm pts
Elie Okobo ($4100) @POR - 27 min - 214.5 O/U - 101 Tm pts
De'Anthony Melton ($4500) @POR - 20 min - 214.5 O/U - 101 Tm pts
Emmanuel Mudiay ($5700) @BOS - 34 min - 217.5 O/U - 102.25 Tm pts

Curry is in such a good spot that he might be the only play I go with. Okobo gets minutes, but seems like nothing ever happens. Melton seems to get much more usage when he's on the court. I might pair Mudiay with Curry for some lineups.

SG

James Harden ($11400) vs. @UTA - 36 min - 216 O/U - 107 Tm pts
Donovan Mitchell ($8500) vs. HOU - 33 min - 216 O/U - 109 Tm pts

I'll have some exposure to both Harden and Mitchell. More Mitchell given the matchup in Houston.

Value Plays

Nik Stauskas ($3600) vs. PHO - 22 min - 214.5 O/U - 113.5 Tm pts
Jamal Crawford ($3700) @POR - 23 min - 214.5 O/U - 101 Tm pts
Marcus Smart ($5400) vs. NY - 27 min - 217.5 O/U - 115.25 Tm pts
Jaylen Brown ($4700) vs. NY - 24 min - 217.5 O/U - 115.25 Tm pts

Stauskas should get more run tonight and Crawford has had good minutes lately. Smart and Brown will get exposure tonight with the big spread.

SF

Gordon Hayward ($6400) vs. NY - 27 min - 217.5 O/U - 115.25 Tm pts
Joe Ingles ($6200) vs. HOU - 29 min - 216 O/U - 109 Tm pts
Trevor Ariza ($5800) @POR - 32 min - 214.5 O/U - 101 Tm pts
Jae Crowder ($5500) vs. HOU - 31 min - 216 O/U - 109 Tm pts

Hayward and Ingles both have good matchups so I'll interchange them in various lineups. Ariza is going to still have high usage and Crowder has a good matchup as well.

Evan Turner ($4600) vs. PHO - 34 min - 214.5 O/U - 113.5 Tm pts
Mikal Bridges ($4900) @POR - 31 min - 214.5 O/U - 101 Tm pts
Mario Hezonja ($3500) @BOS - 19 min - 217.5 O/U - 102.25 Tm pts

Turner and Bridges are in good spots for usage. Hezonja is a good lineup construction play.

PF

Jayson Tatum ($7100) vs. NY - 29 min - 217.5 O/U - 115.25 Tm pts
Al-Farouq Aminu ($5900) vs. PHO - 33 min - 214.5 O/U - 113.5 Tm pts
Marcus Morris ($5700) vs. NY - 26 min - 217.5 O/U - 115.25 Tm pts
Josh Jackson ($5500) @POR - 29 min - 214.5 O/U - 101 Tm pts

Jackson will get a ton of run in my lineups. Aminu might get more shots up tonight with McCollum out. Morris seems like a better play than Tatum give their price points.

Value Plays

Noah Vonleh ($5000) @BOS - 31 min - 217.5 O/U - 102.25 Tm pts
Kevin Knox ($5400) @BOS - 27 min - 217.5 O/U - 102.25 Tm pts

Knox is getting more usage than Vonleh, but Vonleh is getting more burn. I'll have some exposure to both.

C

Rudy Gobert ($9800) vs. HOU - 34 min - 216 O/U - 109 Tm pts
Clint Capela ($9100) @UTA - 34 min - 216 O/U - 107 Tm pts
Jusuf Nurkic ($8500) vs. PHO - 30 min - 214.5 O/U - 113.5 Tm pts

Nurkic might get more shots with McCollum out, but the price point is so high. Gobert and Capela have high price points, but they will get plenty of changes against one another tonight. I don't see any real value plays. Deandre Ayton ($6700) could be, but his minutes have been cut for unknown/stupid reasons. Al Horford ($6900) might get some more chances against Enes Kanter ($7100), but Kanter's minutes have been cut too. If you're looking to punt, Aron Baynes ($3700) or Mitch Robinson ($3700) are the options, particularly if the game is a blowout.

Good luck to everyone tonight!

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